INQSI GUIDE
NFL Arbitrage
How NFL moneyline, spread and total prices can differ across sportsbooks.
NFL books can disagree on moneyline prices, spreads and totals, particularly as information and market activity change. An arbitrage calculation must compare equivalent outcomes and account for the exact point line.
A price difference is not automatically an arbitrage. The complete set of mutually exclusive outcomes must produce an implied-probability sum below 100%.
What to check
- Match spread and total numbers exactly
- Compare current timestamps
- Check push and settlement rules
- Recalculate whenever either side moves